Mind Games @ Kioloa 2008 - Problem Set

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Mind Games at Kioloa 2008

Instructions

  1. The problems are intended to be fluid, please add/subtract/modify as you see fit
  2. Please indicate your interest in joining a problem team by adding your name beneath each problem (NB: you can join more than one)

Contents

Ocean acidification

Description

  • The oceans are shifting to a new more acidic regime
  • Will the new regime be stable or will it shift further to a more stable more acidic regime
  • How will marine ecosystems change?
  • How will it affect terrestrial ecosystems?
  • How will it affect the Earth system?
  • What can be done to manage, mitigate or reverse the change?

Members

Megacities

Description

  • The world passed a milestone this year – more than 50% of the population is now urban
  • Some cities are now approaching 50 m people
  • What will cities of 100 m look like?
  • What are the social, economic, biological and physical dimensions?
  • What are the complexity dimensions?
  • What emerges?


Members

The drug problem

Description

  • How do the sociology and pharmacology of drugs interact?
  • Can we predict when new drug problems might emerge?
  • Where do we best put our resources in managing the drug problem – interdiction,
  • therapy, policing, hospitals?
  • Why are drugs a big problem now?
  • Are illegal drugs a necessary part of modern society?

Members


Mind Games at Kioloa 2008

Transgenic humanoids

Description

  • Transgenic pigs are here already – pigs with human genes
  • Humans with pig genes are not far away, and are only a start
  • Will we build aggressive super soldiers, or will North Korea do it first – strong, high pain
  • threshold, high tolerance for performance-enhancing drugs?
  • Will we build dull docile strong humanoids for dangerous jobs?
  • Ethics aside, how do we integrate such creatures into society?
  • If they are easier to build than cyborgs, will we do it even if it takes longer?
  • Will we also build humanoid cyborgs?

Members

The new energy system

Description

  • We are moving from a high carbon to a low carbon global energy system
  • What might it look like?
  • What are the alternative paths?
  • What are the stability and network properties?
  • Can we do it better this time?
  • Have we explored the adjacent possibilities as well as we could?

Members

Beyond emissions reductions

Description

  • What if carbon trading doesn’t work, in the sense of reducing emissions sufficiently to make a difference to global warming?
  • Do we have a Plan B?
  • Should we be working on multiple plans in parallel?
  • What might other ways of handling global warming look like?
  • Are heroic geo-engineering projects feasible?
  • How does it all link together with the earth system?

Members

Working group page

Beyond emissions reductions - Working group page - Mind Games At Kioloa 2008

Global terrorism

Go to Working group page

Description

  • What is the complex systems nature of global terrorism?
  • Can it be defeated by a complex systems approach?
  • Or can it only be coped with?

Members


Mind Games at Kioloa 2008

The internet of the world

Go to working page (coming soon) [1]

Description

  • The internet is transiting to the internet of things – where more sorts of objects are intelligently interconnected
  • What will the internet look like when, effectively, everything is connected – humans, their stuff, the ecosystem, the physical world?
  • What will emerge?
  • What opportunities or threats will there be?

Members

The global financial meltdown

Go to Working group page

At the risk of proposing a topic where events will outstrip our time horizon, I'd be interested in taking a complex systems look at what is going on in the global financial system today.

Description

  • Are there aspects of what was going on in the lead up to the current crisis that could have been more readily identified as a problem had policy-makers looked at the world from a CSS perspective?
  • Do we have anything to say about the appropriate balance between market failure risk and government failure risk as the pendulum shifts back towards a more pro-regulatory stance? Perhaps along the lines of government evolving at a slow evolutionary pace (or punctuated equilibria?) and private sector adapting very quickly?
  • How should policy makers consider risk from the interaction of behaviours/decisions when it isn't linearly related to the individual effects of those behaviours/decisions?

Members

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